US Treasuries2026-10-03 12:46:52U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises to 5.34%, Highest Since 2002Techub News reported that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury, a key benchmark for borrowing costs, has climbed above 5.34%, reaching its highest level since 2002. The move puts fresh attention on a rate that is widely watched across global markets. According to the brief, increases in this benchmark typically affect financial markets worldwide and may also spill over into the valuation of risk assets in the crypto market. The item cited @Kalshi as the source of the market update. No additional details were provided in the original brief beyond the yield level, its historical comparison, and the note on potential market impact.40
Binance2026-09-30 00:09:40Richard Teng says high US yields still pressure risk assets as spot Bitcoin ETFs post $999 million in net inflowsBinance co-CEO Richard Teng said in a post on X that the macro backdrop remains challenging, with elevated US yields continuing to weigh on risk assets. At the same time, he said there are signs that investor demand is starting to improve. Teng also pointed to spot Bitcoin ETF flows, saying the products recorded $999 million in net inflows. He added that technical indicators are beginning to show early signs of a rebound. The remarks frame a mixed market picture: persistent pressure from the broader rate environment, but some improvement in demand and market signals tied to Bitcoin-related investment products.220
Bitcoin2026-09-29 16:12:00Bitcoin Rally Cools as Macro Uncertainty Weighs on Risk AssetsBitcoin’s recent rally has started to lose momentum as fresh macro uncertainty adds pressure to risk assets. According to an Odaily report citing Lianhe Zaobao, U.S. President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a development that has added a new layer of uncertainty to the broader market. At the same time, traders are still digesting the Federal Reserve’s rate hike and are preparing for the possibility of another increase in October. After several weeks of gains, Bitcoin’s advance has slowed, even as the asset remains up 28% since Aug. 19. Despite the moderation in price momentum, Bitcoin is still on track for what could be its best quarterly performance since the fourth quarter of 2024.160
Bitcoin2026-09-29 07:16:46Bitcoin Rally Cools as Strait of Hormuz Tensions and Rate Hike Expectations Weigh on Risk AssetsBitcoin lost momentum after weeks of strong gains as fresh macro uncertainty added pressure to risk assets, according to a report cited by ChainCatcher from Lianhe Zaobao. The latest trigger came after U.S. President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s new proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a development that fed broader geopolitical concerns. At the same time, markets are still digesting the Federal Reserve’s rate hike and are preparing for another possible increase in October. The combination has cooled sentiment around higher-risk trades, even as Bitcoin remains on track for a strong quarter. Since Aug. 19, Bitcoin has risen 28%, and it is now set for what could be its best quarterly performance since the fourth quarter of 2024. The report frames the current move not as a full reversal, but as a slowdown in upside momentum after a rapid multi-week climb.200
Tom Lee2026-09-29 03:11:39Tom Lee says crypto and other risk assets could rebound if Treasury yields easeBitMine chairman Tom Lee said a pullback in U.S. Treasury yields could open the door for a rebound in stocks and crypto. He pointed to comments from Wall Street veteran Jim Bianco, who turned bullish on U.S. Treasuries for the first time in six years after yields climbed to roughly 20-year highs and said current levels look attractive. According to Lee, if yields start to fall, several market narratives could loosen at the same time, including concerns around the so-called "maximum pain" yield level, the fiscal deficit, inflation worries, and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance. In that setup, risk assets such as equities and cryptocurrencies could recover.220
Polymarket2026-09-28 18:16:33Polymarket shows 67.5% odds of WTI crude topping $95 by end of SeptemberPolymarket data showed that, as of 00:50 UTC on Sept. 28, the market was pricing a 67.5% chance that WTI crude oil would rise above $95 per barrel before the end of September. Total volume in the contract reached $8.43 million, while trading volume over the past 24 hours stood at $95,000. According to Techub, citing 99Bitcoins, the move in market-implied odds was tied directly to geopolitical developments. Earlier, former U.S. President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and November WTI futures then rose 1.87% to $94.14. The report added that sharp swings in oil prices are part of a broader market backdrop that could affect the pricing of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Traders are also treating WTI price action as a leading signal for macro-driven volatility in the coming days.250
Morgan Stanle2026-09-26 03:30:57Morgan Stanley turns bullish on the dollar, says high yields will keep pressuring risk assetsMorgan Stanley has reversed its earlier bearish stance on the U.S. dollar and now expects dollar strength to last through mid-2027. The bank forecasts the U.S. Dollar Index will rise to 104 by then, while the euro could fall from about $1.14 against the dollar to $1.10. In its view, expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes, the resilience of the U.S. economy, and structurally elevated energy prices should preserve the relative advantage of U.S. interest rates and continue to support the dollar. The bank had already revised its Fed path to include two additional 25-basis-point hikes, one in December this year and another in March 2027, which would lift the federal funds rate to a 4.25%-4.5% range and potentially keep it there through 2027. Morgan Stanley also tied its call to current market conditions: on Sept. 25, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remained near 5.2%, the Dollar Index traded around 101, U.S. stocks found early support from AI optimism, and Bitcoin hovered near $84,900, yet elevated yields were still constraining valuations across risk assets. The report also cited political risks in Europe, including France’s spring 2027 presidential election and election risks in Germany and Italy, as added pressure on the euro.220
Bitcoin2026-09-21 08:39:26Bitcoin nears $84,000 as lower oil prices lift crypto and broader risk assetsBitcoin traded just below $84,000 on Monday, gaining nearly 2% over the past 24 hours and extending the rally that began late last week, according to CoinDesk data. The move came alongside a broader rise in risk assets, with S&P 500 futures up more than 0.5% and Nasdaq 100 contracts close to 1%, led by technology shares. In crypto, Monero’s XMR led major tokens with a 13% jump to nearly $588 before giving back 4% of that gain in the past hour. DOGE rose 5%, XRP added 4% to just above $1.45, and Ether, SOL, and HYPE each climbed about 3%. BNB and ZEC were up 2%, while TRX lagged with a gain of less than 1%. Oil prices were a key driver. Brent crude fell for a fourth straight session, its longest losing streak in three months, as traders watched diplomatic efforts tied to Washington and Tehran and the possible restoration of Middle East crude shipments. President Donald Trump told Fox News he would "probably" be open to meeting Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian at this week’s U.N. General Assembly. Lower energy prices have eased inflation concerns that have kept the Federal Reserve hawkish, while traders are also positioning ahead of a Trump-Xi summit later this week.400
